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As voters in all but a handful of states go to the polls to decide on state legislative races – and in 36 states, governor's races – some consistent themes run across the country. National political issues, including a possible “wave” election for Republicans, inflation and economic concerns, and highly charged social issues are certainly felt across many states, yet it's often the unique politics of each state that takes precedence. While the old saying that “all politics is local” may no longer hold true, many state races are still subject to trends and influences that do not make national headlines.
Ironically, one of the common themes across the country in state races is not who is on the ballot, but who is not: in many states an unusually high number of legislative retirements are occurring in 2022. The National Conference of State Legislatures, for example, expects the number of new state legislators in 2023 to be around 1,000 nationally, or roughly 15 percent of the total – the highest such number in any recent cycle.
NAMIC's regional advocates have prepared the following election preview to help highlight races of interest and put these in the context of the future challenges NAMIC members will face. One other important note: while four of the 11 states with elected insurance regulators will hold elections this year, the vast majority of the remaining insurance regulators are appointed by governors, so changes in the state chief executive office in a given state could also bring changes in this key regulatory post.
Great Lakes
The main items of interest in this region revolve around whether split partisan state governments will continue in Michigan, Minnesota, and...
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Midwest
Most of the electoral action in the Midwest region in the 2022 cycle revolves around gubernatorial races. In Nebraska, Gov. Pete Ricketts is term-limited, but his endorsed candidate, Jim Pillen, is expected to win in November. The governors of...
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Northeast
Apart from New Jersey, where Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy was narrowly re-elected last year, voters across the mostly “blue” Northeast will go to the polls this November, but few surprises are expected as they elect governors, state legislators, and...
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Ohio Valley/Mid-Atlantic
In the Ohio Valley/Mid-Atlantic region, the outcomes in state legislative elections this fall are generally predictable, with minimal chance for any...
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Southeast
In the Southeast region, elections this fall focus on both legislative and statewide executive branch races – save for two states, Louisiana and Mississippi, which will be holding their next state elections in 2023. As much as any region...
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Southwest
The theme for the 2022 elections in the Southwest region is maintaining the status quo, with very few party-flip opportunities in the works. All seven states are governed by trifectas – five Republican: Arizona, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Texas, and...
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West
The odds favor the Democrat trifecta of government control in California, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, and Washington continuing after the November general elections. The best chances for split control are the governor's offices in...
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